Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Homework 3 Delphi Method

Here is the first attempts answers for the Delphi method in class










Here is the second attempts answers for the Delphi method in class






When the Delphi method is used it seems that it works best if a panel of experts (domain experts) perform the method on the question at hand. Anonymity is also key so that ones authority or personality do not affect the judgement of other members. We as a class did neither of these.

If we are talking purely about our experiene in class then it should be noted that by keeping anonymity and bringing in domain experts we should increase our chances of successful prediction. Obviously domain experts have a better idea of the material and therefore can make better predictions. By remaining anynomous people are not pressured to conform which they could be conforming to the wrong idea.

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